How to Calculate Odds: 11 Steps
Step 1: Understanding Odds
Odds are a measure of the likelihood of a particular outcome in a given situation. In betting, odds are used to determine the potential winnings from a successful bet.
Step 2: Know the Types of Odds
There are several types of odds, such as moneyline odds, fractional odds, and decimal odds. Familiarize yourself with each type to better understand their calculations.
Step 3: Convert Odds to Probability
To calculate the probability, divide the number representing the likelihood of an event happening by the sum of that number and the one representing it not happening. For example, if you have odds of 4/1, then the probability would be 1/(4+1) = 1/5 = 0.20 or 20%.
Step 4: Use Betting Formulas
Use betting formulas, like implied probability and expected value, to determine favorable bets. Implied probability is calculated by dividing 100 by the sum of the decimal odds and one (100/(Decimal Odds +1)), while expected value is calculated by multiplying the probability times your potential winnings.
Step 5: Calculate Payouts
For different odd types, use different formulas: for moneyline odds, potential payout is (Amount Wagered * Moneyline Odds) /100; for fractional odds, potential payout is Amount Wagered * Fraction; and for decimal odds, potential payout is Amount Wagered * Decimal Number.
Step 6: Determine Overround or Vigorish
Overround or vigorish refers to the bookmaker’s profit margin built into betting odds. Calculate it by adding up a set of implied probabilities created from various betting odds and observing if it exceeds 100%.
Step 7: Hedge Your Bets
Consider hedging your bets – placing multiple wagers on different outcomes of an event to minimize risk and secure potential profit.
Step 8: Understand Betting Exchanges
A betting exchange allows bettors to place bets against one another, rather than a traditional bookmaker, offering the opportunity for higher odds.
Step 9: Learn the Different Types of Bets
Knowing single bets and multiple bets (also called “parlays” or “accumulators”) will provide more options for calculating odds.
Step 10: Keep Track of Past Performances
Monitor past performances, analyzing teams or players to discern trends that can impact odds and betting strategies.
Step 11: Continuously Learn and Adapt
Stay up-to-date with changes in betting strategies, odd calculations, and technological advancements to ensure you make informed decisions while placing bets. Continuously learn and adapt to maintain a strategic edge in the world of betting.