3 Simple Ways to Read Football Odds
Whether you’re a seasoned football fan or new to sports betting, understanding how to read football odds is crucial for success. This guide will walk you through three simple ways to decipher football odds and improve your chances of winning.
1. Understanding the Types of Football Odds
There are three primary formats that bookmakers use to present football odds: fractional, decimal, and moneyline. Each format represents the same implied probability but displayed in a different way.
a) Fractional Odds (British format):
These are popular in the United Kingdom and are displayed as a fraction (e.g., 5/1). To calculate your potential winnings, simply multiply your stake by the numerator (top number), then divide by the denominator (bottom number). For example, if you place a $10 bet with 5/1 odds, your payout will be $50, plus your original stake.
b) Decimal Odds (European format):
Common in continental Europe, decimal odds display your total potential payout as a number with a decimal point (e.g., 1.50). To work out your potential winnings, multiply your bet amount by the odds provided. For example, a $10 stake at 1.50 odds would return $15 ($10 x 1.50), including the initial stake.
c) Moneyline Odds (American format):
Popular in the United States, moneyline odds show either a positive or negative value (e.g., +200 or -150). A positive value indicates potential profit on every $100 bet, while negative value represents the money required to be wagered for a $100 return. For example, placing $100 on +200 odds would yield $200 profit. On -150 odds, you’d need to wager $150 to win $100.
2. Identifying Favorites and Underdogs
Football odds allow you to quickly spot favorites and underdogs in any given matchup. In general, the lower the odds, the more favored a team is to win. Here’s how you can determine the favorite and underdog in each format:
a) Fractional: The team with the smaller fraction is favored.
b) Decimal: A lower decimal number denotes the favorite.
c) Moneyline: The team with negative odds is considered the favorite.
3. Determining Implied Probability
Converting football odds into implied probability helps you assess the likelihood of a particular outcome. This can be especially helpful when comparing multiple potential bets. Here’s how to calculate implied probability for each format:
a) Fractional: Divide the denominator by the sum of denominator and numerator, then multiply by 100 (e.g., 1 / (5+1) * 100 = 16.67%).
b) Decimal: Divide 1 by the decimal odds, then multiply by 100 (e.g., 1 / 1.50 * 100 = 66.67%)
c) Moneyline: For positive odds, divide 100 by the sum of odds and 100, then multiply by 100 (e.g., 100 / (200+100) * 100 = 33.33%). For negative odds, divide absolute value of odds by sum of absolute value of odds and 100, then multiply by 100 (e.g., |-150| / (|-150|+100) * 100 = 60%)
With these three simple techniques for reading football odds, you’re now better equipped to make smarter bets and enjoy the game even more!